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The economy is sending mixed signals right now. The good news? The U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter—up 3% compared to the 2.4% economists predicted. The not-so-good news? July’s jobs report came in weak, showing some cooling in the labor market.
For housing, June 2025 saw existing home sales drop 2.7% from the previous month to an annual rate of 3.93 million. Prices hit a record median of $435,300, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The silver lining? Inventory is growing—up nearly 16% from last year to 1.53 million homes, giving buyers 4.7 months of supply (compared to 1.32 million a year ago).
Looking ahead, September could bring a big change: there’s now an 82% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 0.25%. If inflation cools, this could push mortgage rates lower. We’ll be watching August’s inflation report (CPI), the Fed’s commentary, and job market data to see if the labor slowdown continues—which could impact homebuying demand.
More inventory plus lower rates could mean better affordability this fall. But, if the job market weakens further or trade tensions flare, that optimism could fade. For now, buyers should keep an eye on rates, inventory, and pricing trends—because opportunities may be opening up.
Key takeaway: More homes are on the market and a possible Fed rate cut is on the horizon. That’s good news for buyers—if the broader economy holds steady.