• January 20, 2023
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• realestate

MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is down -13 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Taking it to the House: December Existing Home Sales were a little better than expected, 4.02M units on an annualized basis vs. est. of 3.96M and not far off November’s pace of 4.08M Jobs, Jobs,

• January 11, 2023
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• realestate

MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +11 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications rose by 1.2% thanks to a big gain of 5.1% in Refinance Applications. Purchase Applications were basically flat at -0.5% The Talking Fed:

• October 13, 2022
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• realestate

Inflation ran hotter than expected in September, continuing to squeeze U.S. households and worsen a political headache for President Biden with just one month until midterm elections. The Labor Department said Thursday that the consumer price index, a broad measure of the price for everyday goods including gasoline, groceries and rents, rose 0.4% in September

• August 9, 2023
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• realestate

WRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 99.08 (+11bps)10yr yield: 4.01CPI data at 8:30am ET tomorrow. Markets expect higher number than June, so unless MUCH higher I don’t think way we will see too much of a negative response but there is definitely a possibility. If shelter costs and core CPI show more improvement than expected we could see

• August 8, 2023
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• realestate

WRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 98.73 (-16bps)10yr yield: 4.03 Mtg bonds bouncing around through the day, but not enough to see lenders reprice worse. Not a lot of risk floating into tomorrow. Rates sheets this morning will improve, and reprice risk on the day is low. Bonds here and abroad got a big boost overnight from soft

• September 15, 2022
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• realestate

The economic standoff between rising inflation and rising interest rates continues to weaken the housing market nationwide, with home sales falling across all 12 Federal Reserve districts, according to the Fed’s latest Beige Book report. Prospects for future improvement anytime soon are dim as well. “The outlook for future economic growth remained generally weak, with … expectations

• September 2, 2022
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• realestate

U.S. job growth moderated in August from a torrid pace the previous month, but hiring remained solid despite growing headwinds from higher interest rates, scorching-hot inflation and mounting recession fears. Employers added 315,000 jobs in August, the Labor Department said in its monthly payroll report released Friday, in line with the 300,000 jobs forecast by Refinitiv

• July 28, 2022
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• realestate

The U.S. economy shrank in the spring for the second consecutive quarter, meeting the criteria for a so-called technical recession as raging inflation and higher interest rates forced consumers and businesses to pull back on spending. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, shrank by 0.9% on an