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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +18 with 60 minutes left to trade. Rosie the Riveter: The preliminary Markit Manufacturing PMI was better than expected (46.8 vs. est. of 46.1) but still well below 50. Same story with Services, 46.6 vs. est. of 44.5. Richmond Fed Manufacturing
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is down -9 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. There were no domestic events today. On Deck for Tomorrow: Richmond Fed Manufacturing, 2 year Treasury note auction. Check the main page for Bryan’s video break down SIGMA RESEARCH, INC. THE SHIRMEYER REPORT
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week. 1) Inflation Nation, 2) Central Bank Palooza and 3) GDP 1) Inflation Nation: We get the Fed’s key inflation gauge on Friday with PCE as well as Personal Incomes and Spending. Will this follow
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is down -13 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Taking it to the House: December Existing Home Sales were a little better than expected, 4.02M units on an annualized basis vs. est. of 3.96M and not far off November’s pace of 4.08M Jobs, Jobs,
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +11 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications rose by 1.2% thanks to a big gain of 5.1% in Refinance Applications. Purchase Applications were basically flat at -0.5% The Talking Fed:
READ MOREWRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 99.08 (+11bps)10yr yield: 4.01CPI data at 8:30am ET tomorrow. Markets expect higher number than June, so unless MUCH higher I don’t think way we will see too much of a negative response but there is definitely a possibility. If shelter costs and core CPI show more improvement than expected we could see
READ MOREWRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 98.73 (-16bps)10yr yield: 4.03 Mtg bonds bouncing around through the day, but not enough to see lenders reprice worse. Not a lot of risk floating into tomorrow. Rates sheets this morning will improve, and reprice risk on the day is low. Bonds here and abroad got a big boost overnight from soft
READ MOREJobs, Jobs, Jobs: We saw a pretty sizable increase in the number of announced corporate job cuts per the September Challenger Job Cuts report which moved from 20,485 in August to 29,989 in Sept. Initial Weekly Jobless Claims were higher than expected (219K vs. est. of 200K) but the prior week was revised lower to
READ MOREThe economic standoff between rising inflation and rising interest rates continues to weaken the housing market nationwide, with home sales falling across all 12 Federal Reserve districts, according to the Fed’s latest Beige Book report. Prospects for future improvement anytime soon are dim as well. “The outlook for future economic growth remained generally weak, with … expectations
READ MOREThe Federal Reserve will provide up to $2.3 trillion of loans to further support the economy, the central bank said Thursday. The so-called Main Street Lending Program will provide support to households and businesses of all sizes and help governments deliver critical services to combat disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
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