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Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week. 1) The Talking Fed, 2) Central Bank Palooza and 3) Inflation Nation. 1) The Talking Fed: On Wednesday we get the Fed’s latest Interest Rate Decision and Policy statement. The bond market has a 50BPS rate
READ MOREInflation Nation: November Producer Price Index was hotter than expected with the MOM Headline reading increasing by 0.3% vs. est. of 0.1%, plus October was revised higher. YOY, it matched forecasts at 7.4% which is lower than October’s YOY upwardly revised pace of 8.1%. Core PPI (ex food and energy) was also higher than expected.
READ MOREU.S. producer prices rose faster than expected in November, in another sign that inflation isn’t coming down as fast as the Federal Reserve would like. The producer price index rose by 0.3% from October, more than the 0.2% consensus, and October’s number was also revised up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The picture was flattered by volatile food
READ MORETrade Balance: The October total Goods and Services Trade Balance was -$78.2.B vs est of -$79.1B but it was much larger than September’s level of -$73.28B as exports fell to lowest level since June. Central Bank Palooza: The Reserve Bank of Australia increased their main interest rate by 25BPS which was widely expected. Interest rates
READ MOREHome prices declined by 30% during the Great Recession of 2008-2009. The housing market is on much solid foundation this round. Given so much news media coverage about the potential for home price pullback, it is worth visiting the fundamentals related to the current cycle versus the last. – 20 more jobs today and no
READ MOREAll three of the major U.S. averages rose on Wednesday after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s October meeting showed policymakers foresee a slowing of future rate hikes. Consumer discretionary names led the gains while energy lagged after oil fell 3.7% to $77.94 per barrel.
READ MOREHiring in the U.S. remained solid in October, presenting challenges for the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight. Employers added 261,000 nonfarm jobs, more than expected and in line with the previous month’s 263,000. The unemployment rate edged higher to 3.7%, up from 3.5% in September. Hourly pay remained brisk rising at 4.7% year over year, matching
READ MOREMore comments from St. Louis Fed James Bullard. He expects the central bank to end its “front-loading” of aggressive interest-rate hikes by early next year and shift to keeping policy sufficiently restrictive with small adjustments as inflation cools. “You do have to think about what the reasonable level is,” said Bullard, who has become Wall Street’s
READ MOREU.S. existing home sales slowed for the eighth straight month in September as rising mortgage rates, surging inflation and steep home prices continued to push prospective buyers out of the market. Sales of previously owned homes tumbled 1.5% in September from the previous month to an annual rate of 4.71 million units, according to new
READ MOREThe Internal Revenue Service today announced the tax year 2023 annual inflation adjustments for more than 60 tax provisions, including the tax rate schedules and other tax changes. Revenue Procedure 2022-38PDF provides details about these annual adjustments. New for 2023 The Inflation Reduction Act extended certain energy related tax breaks and indexed for inflation the energy efficient
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