Category: Rates

• January 25, 2024
• no comment
• realestatelife

There was a little bit for all in the data with headline GDP for Q4 2023 rising 3.3% while the inflation components declined. Growth was driven by consumer spending rising at a solid 2.8% rate in the quarter. For 2023, GDP was 2.5% after 1.9% in 2022. Jobless Claims rose to 214K versus 200K expected

• January 6, 2024
• no comment
• realestatelife

01/05/24 RATE MARKET WRAP UP UMBS 5.5 99.78 (-9bps)10yr yield 4.05 Bonds saw a bit more improvement earlier in the day and a handful of lenders repriced better. Also, markets have leaned a bit more into that March Fed rate hike, now 75% probable, after digging deeper into jobs report showed large Nov revision and

• December 31, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

Rate sheets today may be a little worse than yesterday but it shouldn’t be much, and reprice risk is low. Markets close today at 2pm Eastern and will be closed on Monday for New Years. All loans are free to cautiously float.There is little risk to avoid, although little reason to expect improvement either. Let’s see

• December 29, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

Rate sheets today should be about the same as yesterday, and reprice risk is low. Things are generally quiet between Christmas and New Years, and I don’t expect this time around to be any different as traders take the rest of the year off. Other than some housing data there isn’t much in the way

• December 26, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

Rate sheets today should continue to hold steady and reprice risk is low. Things are generally quiet between Christmas and New Years, and I don’t expect this time around to be any different as traders take the rest of the year off. Other than some housing data there isn’t much in the way of economic

• December 25, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

Pricing this morning similar to yesterday, no reason to worry about reprices. Mixed data this morning, but the PCE inflation came in slightly better than was forecast. However, trading volumes are so low it’s not like we are going to see any kind of rally on the news. Bond market closes at 2pm today, and

• December 21, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

Rate sheets today once again similar to yesterday, and reprice risk on the day is low. Markets are seeing low trading volume, as expected, with many traders taking the end of year off. Tomorrow morning we get the PCE inflation data, the Fed’s favored gauge of inflation. Normally I’d say I don’t expect it to

• December 19, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

UMBS 5.5 100.23 (+5bps)10yr yield 3.93 Another quiet day as expected. Once again, although there is little urgency to locking, there is little expected benefit to floating. I’d consider locking any loans that are within 30 days of closing simply for peace of mind. We aren’t likely to see any bigger moves until January’s labor

• December 18, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

Rate sheets today may be a bit worse than Friday but shouldn’t be much… however, we are seeing definite signs that this rally has stalled. Reprice risk on the day is low, nothing on the economic calendar or in the headlines that should shake things up. Markets are shrugging off cautionary comments made by Fed

• December 17, 2023
• no comment
• realestatelife

Rate sheets today either similar or just slightly worse than yesterday, and reprice risk on the day is moderate. The tea leaves are pointing to this rally being at the end of its leash for now, and I stand by yesterday’s suggestion to lock any loans that are closing in the next 30 days or