• August 3, 2023
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WRAP UP UMBS 5.5: 98.28 (-41bps)10yr yield: 4.18 Tomorrow brings jobs data at 8:30am ET, before rate sheets. Data showing a softening labor market would help bonds improve, but rates don’t have much room to go lower. If the data is not well received by markets, bonds are going to sell off to new terrible

• August 2, 2023
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Afternoon WRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 98.69 (-17bps)10yr yield: 4.09 Although bonds are well off the worst levels of the day, nothing really points to potential for improvement. Rates still look poised to hit new highs for the year, and unless a surprisingly weak labor reading comes in on Friday we don’t have anything on the horizon

• August 1, 2023
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08/01/23 4:47pm ET WRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 98.86 (-39bps) 10yr yield: 4.04 No improvement today, leaving the door open for things to get worse. Risks favor locking, little reason to believe that we will see rates move lower. If Friday’s jobs data shows softening to the labor market, we could see rates fall back again… but

• July 31, 2023
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Wrap up10yr yield: 3.96 Bonds off their best levels of the day, if you saw one of the handful of reprices better today you may see them reprices worse again before the day is over… otherwise not enough movement for most lenders to bother (but some may). Unless holding out for jobs data or CPI

• July 28, 2023
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07/28/23 4:30pm ET WRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 99.30 (+38bps)10yr yield: 3.96 After a rough ride, mtg bonds about the same levels we ended with on Tuesday. I told you not to panic yesterday, although we won’t yet see the full recovery on most rate sheets unless we get a positive start Monday, bonds have recovered a

• July 27, 2023
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Rate sheets this morning should be a bit better than yesterday, and reprice risk on the day is low. Strong economic data this morning put a damper on things… jobless claims coming in lower than expected pointing to a strong labor market, 2nd qtr GDP data showing the economy is nowhere near a recession, and

• July 26, 2023
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Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 August Coupon is currently up +28 BPS. Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications were down by -1.8%. Purchases led the way lower with -2.5%. Refinances were basically flat at -0.4%. June New Home Sales were vs. est. of 727K. The Talking Fed: We got the Fed’s latest Interest

• July 25, 2023
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Rate sheets this morning likely slipping a bit from yesterday as bonds lose ground early. Reprice risk today is low, the losses will already be on the day’s rate sheet and the real fireworks come tomorrow after the Fed meeting. Today brings consumer confidence data at 10am ET though, which could see morning rate sheets

• July 24, 2023
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Rate sheets this morning likely pretty similar to Friday, as bonds settle in to the calm before the storm. Reprice risk today is low, with nothing in the way of economic data to shake things up and a muzzle still on all the Fed speakers ahead of this week’s Fed meeting. Likely that rates tread

• July 20, 2023
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Rate sheets taking a hit this morning as bonds opened much weaker on the day. An unexpected turn, as bonds lost a lot of ground in overnight trading but are now finding a bottom. This isn’t anything to panic about, but does put a damper on the morning. Reprice risk on the day is low