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The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell in January to a reading of 94.4, the worst reading since July. Economists polled expected a 98 reading. Confidence has increased substantially since the recession, though it’s still below levels of the internet bubble era.
READ MOREJohn Williams, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, is being considered by the White House to become vice chairman of the Federal Reserve Board in Washington, the Wall Street Journal reported Thursday. That would put him in the No. 2 position behind new Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The Journal reported that other candidates for
READ MOREInitial U.S. jobless claims tumbled by 41,000 to 220,000 in mid-January, marking the biggest one-week decline since 2009. The number of new claims also touched the lowest level since February 1973. Economists had forecast claims to total 250,000 in the seven days ended Jan. 13. The level of claims gives a rough idea of how
READ MOREConstruction on new houses fell 8.2% in December to a 1.19 million annual rate. Economists polled by MarketWatch has forecast housing starts to total 1.28 million. Single-family starts dropped 11.8%, but construction on buildings with five or more units rose 2.6%. Permits for future construction were basically flat at 1.30 million. Still, 2017 was a
READ MOREAn extended bout of low prices and tepid wage growth are showing signs of ending and that has government-bond investors bracing for a new inflation regime. Rising inflation is anathema to bonds because it can erode the security’s fixed value, which is a notable headwind for longer-dated government paper. Contributing to the anticipation of higher
READ MOREIndustrial production rose 0.9% in December for the fourth straight monthly increase, the Federal Reserve reported Tuesday. The gain was above Wall Street expectations of a 0.6% increase. For the fourth quarter, production jumped at an 8.2% annual rate, after a 1.3% drop in the prior quarter caused by hurricane damage. For the calander year,
READ MOREThe Federal Reserve said the pace of growth continues to be “modest to moderate” in its latest snapshot of the economy known as the Beige Book. The report covers late November to Jan. 8. Most districts reported “on-going labor market tightness and challenges finding qualified workers across skills and sectors,” the report said. The lack
READ MOREThe Empire State manufacturing survey slipped to 17.7 in January from a revised 19.6 in December, the New York Fed said. Economists had expected activity to inch up to 18.6, according to a surveys.
READ MORETax cuts, rising inflation, a weaker US dollar, strong economic growth…these are all reasons for the markets’ strong rally right now. While you’d have to think nearly all of these positives are priced in, the market just keeps marching higher. Prices have recently gone vertical. That’s not sustainable. I’d therefore expect a decent correction to
READ MORESolid inflation data on Friday sparked anxiety that the bounce in consumer prices would strengthen the Federal Reserve’s resolve to tighten monetary policy at a more aggressive pace. Those fears sent prices for short-dated debt tumbling and yields higher. The 2-year note yield rose 4.2 basis points to 2.014%, its highest level since September 2008
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