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Consumer sentiment falls to six-month low on concern over prices, uncertain tax-cut benefit

  • January 19, 2018
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The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell in January to a reading of 94.4, the worst reading since July. Economists polled expected a 98 reading. Confidence has increased substantially since the recession, though it’s still below levels of the internet bubble era.

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San Francisco Fed President John Williams is up for No. 2 Fed post: report

  • January 19, 2018
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John Williams, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, is being considered by the White House to become vice chairman of the Federal Reserve Board in Washington, the Wall Street Journal reported Thursday. That would put him in the No. 2 position behind new Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The Journal reported that other candidates for

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Jobless claims sink 41,000 to 45-year low of 220,000

  • January 18, 2018
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Initial U.S. jobless claims tumbled by 41,000 to 220,000 in mid-January, marking the biggest one-week decline since 2009. The number of new claims also touched the lowest level since February 1973. Economists had forecast claims to total 250,000 in the seven days ended Jan. 13. The level of claims gives a rough idea of how

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U.S. housing starts fizzle at end of 2017

  • January 18, 2018
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  • realestate

Construction on new houses fell 8.2% in December to a 1.19 million annual rate. Economists polled by MarketWatch has forecast housing starts to total 1.28 million. Single-family starts dropped 11.8%, but construction on buildings with five or more units rose 2.6%. Permits for future construction were basically flat at 1.30 million. Still, 2017 was a

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Inflation expectations touch 3-year high after bond auction

  • January 18, 2018
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An extended bout of low prices and tepid wage growth are showing signs of ending and that has government-bond investors bracing for a new inflation regime. Rising inflation is anathema to bonds because it can erode the security’s fixed value, which is a notable headwind for longer-dated government paper. Contributing to the anticipation of higher

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Industrial output jumps 0.9% in December, for the fourth straight monthly gain

  • January 17, 2018
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Industrial production rose 0.9% in December for the fourth straight monthly increase, the Federal Reserve reported Tuesday. The gain was above Wall Street expectations of a 0.6% increase. For the fourth quarter, production jumped at an 8.2% annual rate, after a 1.3% drop in the prior quarter caused by hurricane damage. For the calander year,

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Fed’s Beige Book finds muted reaction to Republican tax plan

  • January 17, 2018
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  • realestate

The Federal Reserve said the pace of growth continues to be “modest to moderate” in its latest snapshot of the economy known as the Beige Book. The report covers late November to Jan. 8. Most districts reported “on-going labor market tightness and challenges finding qualified workers across skills and sectors,” the report said. The lack

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Empire State factory gauge softens a bit in January

  • January 16, 2018
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  • realestate

The Empire State manufacturing survey slipped to 17.7 in January from a revised 19.6 in December, the New York Fed said. Economists had expected activity to inch up to 18.6, according to a surveys.

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Why the Odds Favour a Market Correction

  • January 15, 2018
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  • realestate

Tax cuts, rising inflation, a weaker US dollar, strong economic growth…these are all reasons for the markets’ strong rally right now. While you’d have to think nearly all of these positives are priced in, the market just keeps marching higher. Prices have recently gone vertical. That’s not sustainable. I’d therefore expect a decent correction to

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2-year Treasury yield hits crisis-era high on rising rate-hike

  • January 14, 2018
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  • realestate

Solid inflation data on Friday sparked anxiety that the bounce in consumer prices would strengthen the Federal Reserve’s resolve to tighten monetary policy at a more aggressive pace. Those fears sent prices for short-dated debt tumbling and yields higher. The 2-year note yield rose 4.2 basis points to 2.014%, its highest level since September 2008

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