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US job growth jumps by 263,000 in November, unemployment rate steady at 3.7%

  • December 6, 2022
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U.S. job growth rose faster than expected in November as the labor market remained resilient in the face of higher interest rates, scorching-hot inflation and mounting recession fears. Employers added 263,000 jobs in November, the Labor Department said in its monthly payroll report released Friday, topping the 200,000 jobs forecast by Refinitiv economists. It marks a

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Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks on economy and inflation

  • December 1, 2022
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Federal Reserve Chair says the path ahead for inflation remains “highly uncertain.” Powell said inflation forecasts of private-sector forecasters or of Federal Open Market Committee participants broadly show a significant decline over the next year. However, forecasts have been predicting just such a decline for more than a year, while inflation has moved stubbornly sideways.

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November 30, 2022 – Economic News

  • November 30, 2022
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Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications fell by -0.8%, led by a steep decline of -12.9% in Refinance Applications, Purchase Applications were actually up 3.8%. The October Pending Home Sales Index was better (less worse) than expected -4.6% vs. est. of -5.2% Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: November ADP Employment Change was much weaker than

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Housing Market Lawrence Yun

  • November 30, 2022
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Home prices declined by 30% during the Great Recession of 2008-2009. The housing market is on much solid foundation this round. Given so much news media coverage about the potential for home price pullback, it is worth visiting the fundamentals related to the current cycle versus the last. – 20 more jobs today and no

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November 28, 2022 – Economic News

  • November 28, 2022
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Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week. 1) Inflation Nation, 2) Jobs, Jobs, Jobs and 3) The Talking Fed. 1) Inflation Nation: We will get the Fed’s preferred key measure of inflation (Core PCE) on Thursday. Expectations are that it will continue to

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Rates, Mortgage App Volume Improve Heading into Holiday Season

  • November 28, 2022
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Mortgage application volume increased for the second consecutive week as interest rates continued to decline. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Market Composite Index, a measure of that volume, was 2.2 percent higher during the week ending November 18 than the prior week on a seasonally adjusted basis and up 10 percent before adjustment.

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U.S. Treasury

  • November 25, 2022
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This year was one of the worst for bonds in history. While short-dated U.S. Treasury losses were limited to less than 10%, the 23% drop in annual returns of the 10-year note through last month was – according to Bank of America – the worst since the turbulent infancy of 1788; you must go back

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Stocks end higher after Fed signals slower rate hike pace

  • November 23, 2022
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All three of the major U.S. averages rose on Wednesday after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s October meeting showed policymakers foresee a slowing of future rate hikes. Consumer discretionary names led the gains while energy lagged after oil fell 3.7% to $77.94 per barrel.

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November 22, 2022 – Economic News

  • November 22, 2022
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Rosie the Riveter: The November Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index showed contraction at -9 vs. est. of -1 The Talking Fed: Today we hear from Loretta Mester., Esther George and James Bullard. Treasury Dump: We get the last auction of the week with today’s 1:00 7 year note auction. Interest rates fractionally better this morning in

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November 21, 2022 – Economic News

  • November 21, 2022
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MBS OVERVIEW Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week: 1) Central Bank Palooza, 2) The Talking Fed and 3) Domestic Flavor 1) Central Bank Palooza: We will get key interest rate decisions from China and New Zealand. NZ is expected to raise their

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