• September 20, 2023
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Rate sheets this morning likely to be similar to yesterday, ahead of what is likely to be a lively afternoon for bonds. Reprice risk on the day is high, although we’ll have to wait for the dust to settle before we get a clearer picture of where rates are headed from here. I believe the likelihood

• September 19, 2023
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• realestate

Rate sheets this morning likely to show pricing similar to yesterday’s open, and worse than the many reprices better that we saw yesterday. Reprice risk on the day is low, we could see some recovery in bonds that would help some lenders issue better pricing as the day goes one (like we saw yesterday) but

• September 18, 2023
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• realestate

Rate sheets will be at least slightly worse this morning, unless we see a reversal for mortgage bonds from early losses due to overnight trading. Reprice risk on the day is low, other than the handful of wholesale lenders who reprice when a mouse farts, most lenders won’t see bonds move enough to have to

• September 15, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 99.58 (-33bps)10yr yield: 4.33 Well, that’s a wrap. It’s tough to come up with any reason to be floating here that doesn’t include hoping and praying… hoping the Fed meeting and press conference go our way, praying rates fall a bit. I’m not saying it can’t happen, I’m just saying that I

• September 14, 2023
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• realestate

Rate sheets today likely similar to yesterday, and although this morning’s volatility in bonds makes things a bit rocky, reprice risk on the day is low. Some lenders may actually have a bit worse rate sheets this morning due to bonds losing ground after being in positive territory just a little bit ago, and we

• September 13, 2023
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• realestate

WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 99.97 (+22bps)10yr yield: 4.26 After some early volatility, bonds improved to end the day. If you were one of the lucky ones who saw a reprice better – take it. Tomorrow will bring wholesale inflation, but that doesn’t move markets like the CPI did this morning. Consider locking loans for protection unless

• September 12, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 99.78 (-5bps)10yr yield: 4.27 10yr auction a non event, as I expected. Tomorrow we get CPI inflation data, coming in ahead of AM rate sheets, and I still advise to lock most loans. It’s not just the data that matters, it is the REACTION to the data. Unless we get an amazingly

• September 11, 2023
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• realestate

Rate sheets likely to be a bit worse than Friday, but not too much. Reprice risk on the day is moderate, we could see mortgage bonds lose ground on the day despite there being no economic data. There’s a 3yr Treasury auction this afternoon, but that won’t matter to bonds. I’m still in a locking

• September 8, 2023
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• realestate

WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 99.84 (-5bps)10yr yield: 4.26 Quiet day, advice remains to lock most loans simply for protection with big rate improvements unlikely. Rate sheets will be better this morning, reflecting yesterday’s improvement in bonds, but not really anything to get overly excited about. Reprice risk on the day is low, no reason to expect

• September 7, 2023
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• realestate

WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 99.91 (+33bps)10yr yield: 4.25 Good day for bonds. If repriced better, consider taking it, otherwise you may want to consider floating into tomorrow to see if pricing is better and reflects the gains. This doesn’t really change the mid term outlook, but at least it’s a good day. Nothing on the calendar