• October 18, 2023
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Rate sheets will continue to see rates creep higher this morning, although reprice risk on the day is low. Yesterday was a brutal day for rates, pushing them to new limits and laughing at my statement that it looked like we had peaked. Although some of the underlying variables didn’t change, and even though the

• October 17, 2023
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10/17/23 4:47pm ETWRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 97.11 (-58bps)10yr yield 4.84 Bonds didn’t rebound today, which would have been a better sign. It’s still likely we see rates fall back a bit from here, however they could creep higher before that happens. I still think we are close to peak rates, but it wouldn’t be the first

• October 16, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 97.78 (-36bps)10yr yield 4.70Rates moved higher today, and bonds couldn’t improve. Tomorrow AM we get retail sales data, which could help pricing rebound if it shows any kind of slowdown but will hurt AM rate sheets if it shows more strength. I’d still risk floating, especially loans closing November and later, even

• October 13, 2023
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Rate sheets will be a little worse than yesterday, although they should be better than any reprices worse you saw yesterday. Reprice risk on the day is low, we should have a quiet day, but as we saw yesterday there is still always a chance of seeing bonds move more than expected. We should be

• October 12, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 97.94 (-67bps)10yr yield 4.71 Bonds moved much worse today than I would have expected, especially with inflation data coming in as forecast with a decent core number. We can point to some sectors of inflation that could be partly to blame, however, it is more likely this is just normal movement. If

• October 11, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 98.91 (+39bps)10yr yield 4.57 Mortgage bonds continue to improve, setting up tomorrow to have better rates. We could see some volatility when the CPI data comes out at 8:30am ET, but overall it is unlikely we see rates start moving higher again. Unless worried about tomorrow, loans should continue floating. Rate sheets

• October 10, 2023
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Rate sheets will rebound this morning from Friday’s brutal reaction to the jobs data, unfortunately rates being helped by the conflict/war in the Gaza strip/Israel. Reprice risk today is low, it is unlikely we see bonds give back the current gains. We might have seen a shift in sentiment this week anyway, had there not

• October 6, 2023
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10/06/23 4:30pm ET WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 97.63 (-33bps)10yr yield: 4.80 Mortgage bond recovered quite a bit from worst levels, but the 10yr yield points to where rates will hold. Lots of reprices better, but I would risk floating into next week. Monday is Columbus Day, bond market closed, no text/email. There is risk to floating,

• October 5, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 98.02 (+19bps)10yr yield: 4.71 Thankfully a quiet day. Some may choose to risk floating into tomorrow, but the return will be minimal. Jobs data comes out ahead of pricing, and we could see volatility. Rate sheets this morning shouldn’t be too different than yesterday. Reprice risk on the day is moderate, there’s

• October 4, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 6.0: 97.84 (+37bps)10yr yield: 4.74 Alls well that ends well? Some late day repricing better, however, still nothing to get too excited about. Rates may drift a little bit lower from here, but it won’t be much, advice remains to lock in, despite potential for possible improvement tomorrow. Tomorrow we get jobless claims